FAIR USE NOTICE

FAIR USE NOTICE

A BEAR MARKET ECONOMICS BLOG

Occupy Economics and the Economy


This site may contain copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. We are making such material available in an effort to advance understanding of environmental, political, human rights, economic, democracy, scientific, and social justice issues, etc. we believe this constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml

If you wish to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own that go beyond ‘fair use’, you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.

FAIR USE NOTICE FAIR USE NOTICE: This page may contain copyrighted material the use of which has not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. This website distributes this material without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for scientific, research and educational purposes. We believe this constitutes a fair use of any such copyrighted material as provided for in 17 U.S.C § 107.

Read more at: http://www.etupdates.com/fair-use-notice/#.UpzWQRL3l5M | ET. Updates
FAIR USE NOTICE FAIR USE NOTICE: This page may contain copyrighted material the use of which has not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. This website distributes this material without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for scientific, research and educational purposes. We believe this constitutes a fair use of any such copyrighted material as provided for in 17 U.S.C § 107.

Read more at: http://www.etupdates.com/fair-use-notice/#.UpzWQRL3l5M | ET. Updates

All Blogs licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 3.0

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License.


Thursday, September 17, 2015

Fed Up: The National Campaign for a Strong Democracy

Center for Popular Democracy

FED UP: THE NATIONAL CAMPAIGN FOR A STRONG ECONOMYThe economy still isn't working for us

Fed Up, Center for Popular Democracy

We are Fed Up!

The Federal Reserve has tremendous influence over our economy. Although our communities continue to suffer through a weak recovery and economic inequality keeps growing, corporate and financial interests are demanding that the Fed put the brakes on growth so wages don’t rise. There is a real danger that in early 2015, the Fed will cut the legs out from the recovery before the economy reaches full acceleration, costing our communities millions of jobs and workers tens of billions in wages.

But for the first time in recent memory, community organizations, unions, and consumer advocates are mobilizing around the Federal Reserve for a national economic policy that prioritizes full employment and rising wages.

Organized by the Center for Popular Democracy, over 70 non-profits, community based organizations, and unions representing millions of people from every region of the United States have recently called upon the Federal Reserve to reject recent efforts to raise interest rates and to instead adopt all the policies necessary to rapidly reach a full employment economy.

Janet Yellen, the Chair of the Fed, gets it: she knows that the economy remains too weak, with stagnant wages and too much un- and underemployment . But Yellen works with a group of 18 other Fed officials who together make the decision to set interest rates, and now a growing number of them are flexing their muscle and claiming the economy has fully recovered to justify raising interest rates and slamming the brakes on the economy. Those bankers refuse to see how bad the economy still is for most of us.

That’s why our coalition has come together: the Fed needs to hear our voices. The Fed’s job is too important for us to let bankers and financial interests dominate the conversation. The Fed needs to know, it’s not just the rich who are watching them, but now, we are too.

And we’ve already started to be heard. On August 21, 2014, for the first time in memory, unemployed and low-wage workers had face-to-face engagement with the nation's most powerful economic decision-makers at the Fed’s annual conference in Jackson Hole. A group of 10 activists -- brought together by the Center for Popular Democracy and our core partners around the country -- shared our experiences in the economy as unemployed, underemployed, overworked, and underpaid workers in the economy. We directly challenged the economic recovery narrative that those who want to raise interest rates were trying to push.

Our team had a big impact directly on some of the most influential policy makers in the Federal Reserve. Our team met with one of the leading voices calling for an interest rate hike, Esther George, the President of the Kansas City Fed for two hours, we voiced our concerns with Stanley Fischer, the Vice-Chair of the Federal Reserve, and Janet Yellen, the Fed Chair, publicly agreed to meet with us.
Our action at Jackson Hole was only the beginning of a national conversation on monetary policy our coalition will demand. Our broader agenda is to advocate with the Federal Reserve to build an economy that works for all of us. The millions of people represented in our campaign call on the Fed to adopt pro-worker policies for the rest of us: keep interest rates low, give the economy a fair chance to recover, and prioritize full employment and rising wages.

The millions of people represented in our campaign call on the Fed to adopt pro-worker policies for the rest of us: keep interest rates low, give the economy a fair chance to recover, and prioritize full employment and rising wages.

Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Bush vs. Obama on the Economy, In 3 Simple Charts [UPDATED]



CAMPAIGN for AMERICA'S FUTURE





Bush vs. Obama on the Economy, In 3 Simple Charts [UPDATED]




Note: This post was originally published on August 18, 2014, then updated on December 8, 2014. The following was rewritten September 8, 2015 using updated data. 

The back-to-back Bush and Obama administrations allow us to easily compare the effectiveness of liberal and conservative economic policies. President George W. Bush’s record is highlighted by tax cuts largely aimed at giving the wealthiest Americans more money with which to invest, and a looser regulatory regime on businesses. President Obama implemented the Keynesian-style American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (also known as “the stimulus”), repealed the heart of the Bush tax cuts, greatly expanded the federal government’s role in health care with the Affordable Care Act, and tightened regulations on several industry sectors including finance and energy.
How do their economic records compare?
Let’s start with the big one: jobs. And let’s make it fair to Republicans and only look at private sector job creation – no Democratic cheating by putting all the unemployed on the government payroll!

Bush vs. Obama: Private Sector Job Creation

bushvobamaprivatesectorjobs
Bush lost private sector jobs over the course of his eight years (the Wall Street Journal declared it the “Worst Track Record On Record” on jobs), while Obama has created a net of nearly 9 million private sector jobs during his presidency, and more than 12 million if you start counting after the Great Recession Bush handed Obama technically ended in mid-2009.

Bush vs. Obama: Unemployment Rate

Similarly, while Bush’s policies drove up the unemployment rate, Obama’s has pushed it down.
bushvobamaunemployment
The above, like the other line chart below, is a simplified graph that removes all month-to-month fluctuations during their presidencies, to clarify the bottom line.
Now sometimes reductions in the unemployment rate are dismissed, because the lower percentage comes from unemployed people giving up and leaving the workforce instead of getting a job. In turn, analysts often look at the “employment-population ratio” to see what percent of our population is actually working. But the steady increase in job creation over the last year has begun to lift the employment-population ratio as well.
Under Bush, the employment-population ratio dropped 3.8 percentage points, from 64.4 percent to 60.6 percent. Under Obama, it fell another 2.4 percentage points by October 2013, but since has regained half of that loss and now sits at 59.4 percent. With continued steady job gains, Obama could leave office with a net positive increase.
Again, Obama’s overall record bests Bush’s … lest you thought Bush’s near-doubling of the unemployment rate was due to millions of people rushing to get back into the job hunt.

Bush vs. Obama: Corporate Profits

bushvobamacorporateprofits
It may seem off-base to look at corporate profits when the middle class is still struggling.
However, in the first year of Obama’s second term, median household income ticked up 0.3 percent (see Table H-5 on this Census Bureau page of household income data), the first year with an increase since 2007. Also, average hourly earnings of private sector employees have risen, though slowly, up 14 percent during the course of Obama’s presidency.
This could mean income declines hit bottom in 2012, and the other economic successes of the Obama administration are beginning to translate into improvements felt by the middle class. The other silver lining for the middle class is that inflation has been lower under Obama than Bush, so at least flat wages aren’t losing purchasing power.
Still, stagnant wages have been a persistent problem both before and after the crash. According to a 2013 report from the Economic Policy Institute, by one measure wages only grew 2.4 percent between 2000 and 2007, under Bush yet before the crash, then have basically stayed flat since. Presuming that wages can rise enough to rescue the middle class without any new policies would be a big risk.
A big debate awaits us on how we solve the problem of stagnant wages holding back middle-class prosperity. Considering that under Bush, corporations did worse than under Obama, household income still fell and private sector jobs were lost, perhaps conservative economic policies should not be our North Star.